Good and bad: 7% unemployed; 37% unemployable

Ylan Q. Mui and Amrita Jayakumar / The Washington Post /


Americans are participating in the workforce at the lowest level in 35 years, according to government data released Friday, as lackluster job growth fails to offset the droves of people who have given up looking for work.

According to the Labor Department, the economy added a disappointing 169,000 jobs in August. In addition, the government lowered its estimate of the number of jobs created in June and July by 74,000 positions.

The grinding pace of recovery has hollowed out the workforce. Government data showed that only 63.2 percent of working-age Americans have a job or are looking for one, the lowest proportion since 1978 — meaning that almost 37 percent are essentially unemployable. Nearly 90 million people are now considered out of the labor force, up 1.7 million from August 2012.

“We just don’t see this consistent, strong job market that’s really going to entice people to go back into it,” said Michael Evangelist, policy analyst at the National Employment Law Project. “You don’t want people falling out of the labor force where they’re not able to contribute and not able to find work.”

Carol Petty, 54, is among those hanging in the balance. She lost her job as a paralegal in Nevada last summer and has struggled to find work since. Petty moved to California to be near her family and hoped she would find a better job market. She sends out as many as 10 resumes a week and knows she is unlikely to find another position that pays her old salary of $55,100 a year.

She said others in her position have given up seeking work. The question for Petty — and the broader economy — is how long people like her will be able to hold on.

“I’m just so stubborn,” she said. “I will do anything.”

There are demographic trends underlying the decline in the labor force. For much of the past generation, growing numbers of working women boosted its size, but that effect has leveled off. Meanwhile, the first wave of baby boomers is reaching retirement age, while younger workers are staying in school longer before looking for their first job.

Many economists believe those shifts cannot fully explain the size of the decline. Research released this spring by two Federal Reserve economists showed that states with the largest drops in unemployment also had bigger declines in the labor force, suggesting the slow pace of recovery is the culprit.

Before the recession, the government studied population changes and forecast that the participation rate would dip by 0.3 percentage points from 2007 to 2012, according to the paper. Instead, it fell by 2.5 percentage points.

Amanda Dean has almost reached the end of the line. The 30-year-old North Carolina resident has a master’s degree in social work, but has never found a job in her field. She was laid off from her last job, as an office manager, in January.

Her state unemployment benefits ran out in July, and she isn’t eligible for an extension. She doesn’t qualify for food stamps, either. Dean’s parents have been helping pay her mortgage and other bills.

Dean said she has thought about dropping out of the workforce altogether, perhaps going back to school for a business degree. But she realized she couldn’t afford it.

“I have not given up,” she said. “That’s not an option.”

Economists had hoped the recovery would pick up steam during the second half of this year. But it’s been the decline in the labor force rather than robust hiring that has pushed the unemployment rate to a deceptively low 7.3 percent.

Bob Funk, chief executive of Express Employment Professionals, a staffing firm, said that many businesses remain reluctant to bring on permanent workers. Typically, about two-thirds of his firm’s temporary employees are hired by the companies at which they are placed. Now only about half are kept, he estimates.

“That’s primarily due to the uncertainty out there,” Funk said, citing new health insurance requirements as well as looming fiscal fights in Washington. “They don’t know how to manage their business as well when they don’t know what their costs are going to be.”

Washington remains a wild card for the economy. Congress must agree on at least a short-term spending plan by October or risk shutting down the federal government.

In addition, the nation may not be able to pay all its bills unless lawmakers agree to raise the debt ceiling before a mid-October deadline.

In a remarks Friday while at the Group of 20 summit in Russia, President Barack Obama said he is “determined that the world has confidence in the full faith and credit of the United States.” He also touted gains in manufacturing jobs and new regulations aimed at fortifying the nation’s banks.

“We’ve put more people back to work, but we’ve also cleared away the rubble of crisis and laid the foundation for stronger and more durable economic growth,” he said.

For the oldest, job ranks grow

The job market may be sluggish, but for one group — older Americans — the employment ranks are at a high-water mark.

During the summer months this year, an average of 35.9 percent of men 65 to 69 years old had jobs, as did 25.6 percent of women in that age group. Both figures were the highest for those months since such numbers became available in 1981. The employment rate for women 70 to 74 was also higher than in any previous summer.

On the other end of the scale, the percentage of people under 30 with jobs, while up from its lows, remained far less than it was before the recession.

— From wire reports